Update on Where the Votes will Fall

Posted by Jeff

Based upon reports of Voter Turnout, some slight poll adjustments, my final guess-estimate

63

Dayton

Horner

Emmer

Leans Republican

951278.7

453648.1

830802.2

Slightly Republican

974806.6

500806.3

839969.5


 

I think those numbers for Horner is a bit high but Emmer's and Dayton's should be really close.

For those tracking I have 20 models representing voter turnout and how those voters tend to lean. The final change is a based upon higher than expected turnout in the Cities (DFL Strong Holds) and moderate to High in the Exurbs.

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